Recovery at Dubai International Airport (DXB) is expected to gain strong momentum in the third quarter of 2026, driven by rising travel demand and a projected surge in visitor numbers, according to the CEO of Dubai Airports. Paul Griffiths stated that the upcoming months will mark a significant turning point following recent disruptions that affected flight schedules and capacity. “The third quarter is expected to be a particularly strong period, with a noticeable return of visitors to Dubai,” he said.
Full Capacity Restored After Disruptions
Dubai International Airport has now resumed 100% operational capacity following the reopening of UAE airspace, which had previously limited flight movements.
At the peak of the disruption, operations had dropped to nearly 38% of normal levels due to restricted regional routes, despite infrastructure remaining fully functional.
The recovery phase is expected to be led initially by transfer traffic, a key strength of Dubai’s aviation model, before direct travel demand strengthens further.
Dubai’s Global Appeal to Drive Demand
Griffiths highlighted Dubai’s strong global appeal, particularly during the winter season, as a major factor behind the expected increase in passenger traffic.
He emphasized that Dubai continues to stand out as a preferred destination, attracting international travelers in large numbers.
Aviation Demand Remains Resilient
Despite ongoing uncertainties such as fuel price fluctuations and global economic conditions, the outlook for the aviation sector remains positive.
According to Griffiths, airlines may adjust pricing strategies and absorb some cost pressures to encourage travel demand.
Dubai’s position as a leading global transit hub is expected to support a faster recovery compared to other international airports.
DWC Expansion Plans Proceed Without Delay
Long-term expansion plans for Al Maktoum International Airport (DWC) remain firmly on track, with no changes to timelines or strategy.
The next development phase is designed to handle up to 150 million passengers annually, forming a key part of Dubai’s future aviation infrastructure.
Griffiths confirmed that planning and design work continued uninterrupted, reflecting strong confidence in long-term growth.
Short-Term Impact, Strong Long-Term Outlook
While the recent disruptions may impact overall passenger numbers in 2026, with DXB unlikely to reach its earlier 100 million passenger target, the milestone is now expected to be achieved in 2027.
Importantly, Dubai maintained full operational readiness during the disruption, allowing for a quicker recovery.
“We are fully prepared to operate at maximum capacity and respond quickly to returning demand,” Griffiths added.
Key Highlights
- DXB expected to see strong recovery in Q3 2026
- Airport now operating at 100% capacity
- Transfer traffic to lead initial recovery phase
- DWC expansion to handle 150 million passengers annually
- Long-term aviation growth outlook remains strong
