The Indian stock market is poised for a positive opening today, as indicated by the Gift Nifty's higher trading levels. Global market movements, corporate results, and key economic data have set the stage for a dynamic trading session.
Key Overnight Developments for the Market
1. Gift Nifty Signals a Gap-Up Opening
The Gift Nifty was trading around 23,280, reflecting a premium of approximately 118 points over the previous Nifty futures close. This indicates a strong opening for Indian equity indices, fueled by positive sentiment.
2. Global Market Trends
- Asian Markets: Mixed performance was observed, with Japan's Nikkei 225 and Topix declining by 0.73% and 0.34%, respectively. Meanwhile, South Korea’s Kospi gained 0.4%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index pointed toward a higher opening.
- US Markets: Wall Street closed mixed, with the Nasdaq down 0.38% due to tech sector losses. The Dow Jones rose 0.86%, while the S&P 500 saw a marginal 0.16% recovery. Key movers included Moderna (-16.8%), CVS Health (+7%), and UnitedHealth Group (+3.93%).
3. CPI Inflation Eases
India’s retail inflation, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), dropped to a four-month low of 5.22% in December. This decline was driven by softer food prices, compared to 5.48% in November and 5.69% during the same period last year.
4. HCL Technologies Q3 FY25 Results
HCL Tech reported an 8.4% QoQ growth in net profit, reaching ₹4,591 crore. Revenue climbed by 3.6% QoQ to ₹29,890 crore, with USD revenue growing 2.6% to $3,533 million. The EBIT margin improved to 19.6% from 18.7% QoQ.
The company also raised its FY25 revenue growth forecast to 4.5%-5% (constant currency) and declared a combined dividend of ₹18 per share.
5. Direct Tax Collection Surges
India’s net direct tax collection for the financial year reached ₹16.9 trillion, reflecting a robust 15.9% YoY growth. The increase is attributed to strong personal and corporate tax receipts, surpassing the government’s earlier growth projection of 12.8%.
6. Crude Oil and Currency Trends
Rising crude oil prices and a depreciating rupee added pressure on markets in the previous session. Investors remain cautious about potential inflationary pressures and their impact on the Reserve Bank of India’s policy stance.
7. US Treasury Yields and Dollar Strength
The 10-year US Treasury yield hit a 14-month high of 4.805%, while the dollar index surged to 110.17, marking its strongest level in over two years. These developments could influence capital flows into emerging markets like India.
Market Recap: Monday’s Performance
The Indian equity indices faced a sharp selloff on Monday:
- Sensex: Fell 1,048.90 points (-1.36%) to close at 76,330.01.
- Nifty 50: Declined 345.55 points (-1.47%) to settle at 23,085.95.
Sector-wide selloffs, particularly in mid and small-cap stocks, were driven by rising oil prices and foreign capital outflows.
Outlook
Investors are advised to monitor global cues, corporate earnings, and domestic economic indicators closely. A gap-up opening is anticipated, but volatility may persist.
Disclaimer: Market-related information is provided for informational purposes only. Investors should consult certified financial advisors before making decisions.
