UAE Fuel Prices Drop Sharply in July; Further Relief Possible if Global Oil Prices Stay Lower

Effective July 1, the UAE Fuel Price Committee reduced prices across all fuel grades. Super 98 petrol now costs Dh3.40 per litre, down from Dh3.95 in June. Special 95 has been reduced to Dh3.29 from Dh3.83, while E-Plus 91 now stands at Dh3.21, compared with Dh3.76 last month. Diesel prices also fell significantly to Dh3.60 per litre, down from Dh4.33.

The latest reduction follows a decline in global oil prices after geopolitical tensions in the Middle East eased and concerns over supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz began to subside.

Motorists See Immediate Savings

The revised fuel prices are expected to reduce transportation costs for both individual motorists and businesses.

A driver filling a 60-litre vehicle with Super 98 petrol will now pay approximately Dh204, compared with Dh237 in June. Owners of larger SUVs requiring around 80 litres can expect savings of more than Dh40 on a full tank.

Although prices have declined compared to last month, fuel remains considerably more expensive than during the same period last year, reflecting the strong rise in global energy prices during the first half of 2026.

Lower Oil Prices Drive July Reduction

Global crude oil prices retreated sharply after diplomatic progress reduced fears of prolonged supply disruptions in the Gulf.

Brent crude, which briefly traded above $120 per barrel earlier this year amid concerns over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, fell to around $73 per barrel by the end of June as market sentiment improved.

The decline was further supported by continued production increases from OPEC+, which has gradually expanded output in recent months to improve global supply.

Analysts Expect Stable Fuel Prices

Energy analysts believe the recent correction in crude oil prices could support further stability in UAE fuel prices over the coming months.

Several international forecasts suggest Brent crude could remain within the $70 to $80 per barrel range during the second half of 2026 if global supply continues improving and demand remains moderate.

Should those projections materialize, UAE motorists may benefit from additional, though smaller, reductions in monthly fuel prices.

Geopolitical Risks Still Remain

Despite improving market conditions, analysts caution that the outlook remains dependent on geopolitical developments.

The Strait of Hormuz continues to be one of the world's most strategically important energy routes, with a substantial share of global oil exports passing through the waterway. While shipping activity has improved, tanker movements and insurance costs have yet to fully normalize.

Any renewed disruption to exports or escalation of regional tensions could push oil prices higher again, limiting further reductions in UAE fuel prices.

Outlook

Industry experts expect the sharp price swings witnessed earlier this year to gradually ease as global oil markets rebalance.

If crude prices remain stable and oil supplies continue recovering, UAE fuel prices are likely to remain steady or edge lower in the coming months. However, any unexpected geopolitical developments or supply disruptions could quickly change the market outlook.

For now, July's reduction marks the most significant fuel price relief for UAE motorists in several months and signals improving conditions across the global energy market.